The names we are fading, in writing, before the season
A bust call is only worth anything if it is made before the season, in public, with the reason attached. Anybody can explain a disappointing year in January. These are the traps we see now, and you can hold us to every one of them.
The most common trap in fantasy. A player has one enormous season, the draft market anchors to it, and nothing about the usage that produced it survived the offseason.
Running backs in particular fall off a cliff rather than a slope. The market prices the slope.
New coordinator, new offense, same average draft position. The player did not change; the number of times he touches the ball did.
A depth chart that added two names in the draft and lost nobody. Somebody is going to eat, and the price assumes it is still him.
This is the free sample. The complete bust list, with every reason spelled out, is in the guide.
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